Armchair Intelligence
P0102026-03-05CONFIRMED

Houthis NOT attack before 12 Mar

Confidence: 0.70Lens: regionalTimeframe: 2026-03-12

Reasoning

Correcting from P001 miss; Houthis showed no kinetic action in early days despite rhetoric.

Resolution

No Houthi kinetic action through Day 14.

Log

2026-03-05Created in SESSION 002SESSION 002
5 March 2026Referenced as new prediction in SESSION 002SESSION 002
13 March 2026Scored in SESSION 004SESSION 004

Related Predictions

P001Houthis attack US/commercial vessel by 7 MarREFUTEDP006Israel launches significant Lebanon operation by 10 MarCONFIRMEDP008Missile rate below 20/day by 10 MarREFUTEDP009Mojtaba named Supreme Leader during 3-8 Mar sessionCONFIRMEDP011Oil stays below $95 through 12 MarREFUTEDP014Houthis NOT attack before 20 MarCONFIRMEDP018Houthis first kinetic action by 25 MarREFUTEDP022Additional FPV drone attack in Iraq by 25 MarCONFIRMED