P0142026-03-09CONFIRMED
Houthis NOT attack before 20 Mar
Reasoning
Continued Houthi inaction pattern; degraded capability from 2024-25 Red Sea campaign and lack of genuine Iranian operational control.
Resolution
No kinetic action through Day 21. Rhetoric shifted but no strikes.
Log
Related Predictions
P001Houthis attack US/commercial vessel by 7 MarREFUTEDP006Israel launches significant Lebanon operation by 10 MarCONFIRMEDP010Houthis NOT attack before 12 MarCONFIRMEDP012Oil stays above $95 through 20 MarCONFIRMEDP013Mojtaba public address within 5 daysCONFIRMEDP015No ceasefire talks before 22 MarCONFIRMEDP018Houthis first kinetic action by 25 MarREFUTEDP022Additional FPV drone attack in Iraq by 25 MarCONFIRMED