P0082026-03-05REFUTED
Missile rate below 20/day by 10 Mar
Reasoning
Expected rapid attrition of Iranian missile stockpiles and launch infrastructure under sustained air campaign.
Resolution
Rate hit ~25/day by Day 14, not Day 10. Directionally correct but too aggressive on timing.
Miss Analysis
Timing was too aggressive. Iran's dispersed launch infrastructure proved more resilient than expected.
Log
Related Predictions
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