P0042026-03-02CONFIRMED
No ground forces on Iranian soil 14 days
Reasoning
Air campaign emphasis and lack of ground force pre-positioning made ground invasion structurally unlikely in the opening phase.
Resolution
No ground operations through Day 14. Air campaign emphasis held.
Log
Related Predictions
P001Houthis attack US/commercial vessel by 7 MarREFUTEDP002Oil exceeds $100 within 10 days of Hormuz closureCONFIRMEDP003New Supreme Leader named by 15 MarCONFIRMEDP005GCC state requests US force reduction by 12 MarEXPIREDP006Israel launches significant Lebanon operation by 10 MarCONFIRMEDP007China issues ceasefire proposal by 12 MarEXPIREDP008Missile rate below 20/day by 10 MarREFUTEDP016Missile rate below 15/day by 20 MarPARTIAL