Armchair Intelligence
P0032026-03-02CONFIRMED

New Supreme Leader named by 15 Mar

Confidence: 0.60Lens: politicalTimeframe: 2026-03-15

Reasoning

Assembly of Experts would move quickly to project continuity and stability after Khamenei's death.

Resolution

Mojtaba elected Day 9 (8 March), 6 days early. Assembly moved faster than expected.

Log

2026-03-02Created in SESSION 001SESSION 001
2 March 2026Referenced as new prediction in SESSION 001SESSION 001
9 March 2026Scored in SESSION 003SESSION 003

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