Armchair Intelligence
P0022026-03-02CONFIRMED

Oil exceeds $100 within 10 days of Hormuz closure

Confidence: 0.70Lens: economicTimeframe: 2026-03-12

Reasoning

Hormuz closure removes ~20% of global oil transit; markets would price in supply shock rapidly.

Resolution

Brent hit $119.50 intraday Day 9, settled ~$103. Exceeded threshold by wide margin.

Log

2026-03-02Created in SESSION 001SESSION 001
2 March 2026Referenced as new prediction in SESSION 001SESSION 001
9 March 2026Scored in SESSION 003SESSION 003

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