P0292026-03-21EXPIRED
US/coalition Kharg Island operation by 5 Apr
Reasoning
Kharg Island controls Iranian oil exports; seizure could be used as economic leverage.
Resolution
No ground/amphibious operation at Kharg. US re-struck military targets from the air on Apr 7, but not the ground operation predicted. Ceasefire intervened.
Log
Related Predictions
P004No ground forces on Iranian soil 14 daysCONFIRMEDP008Missile rate below 20/day by 10 MarREFUTEDP016Missile rate below 15/day by 20 MarPARTIALP019US KIA below 25 by 25 MarCONFIRMEDP025USS Boxer NOT arrive before combat ops ceaseCONFIRMEDP028IAEA Natanz statement within 5 daysCONFIRMEDP030Iran fires another IRBM (1,500+ km) within 7 daysCONFIRMEDP031Gulf state requests US cease using territory by 1 AprEXPIRED