P0192026-03-13CONFIRMED
US KIA below 25 by 25 Mar
Reasoning
US force protection measures and air-centric campaign would limit casualties despite Iranian retaliation.
Resolution
Still at 13 KIA on Day 25. Well below threshold. US force protection effective despite 290+ wounded.
Log
Related Predictions
P004No ground forces on Iranian soil 14 daysCONFIRMEDP008Missile rate below 20/day by 10 MarREFUTEDP016Missile rate below 15/day by 20 MarPARTIALP017European NATO ceasefire call by 25 MarEXPIREDP018Houthis first kinetic action by 25 MarREFUTEDP025USS Boxer NOT arrive before combat ops ceaseCONFIRMEDP029US/coalition Kharg Island operation by 5 AprEXPIREDP030Iran fires another IRBM (1,500+ km) within 7 daysCONFIRMED