P0442026-03-29EXPIRED
Prince Sultan Air Base attacked again by Iran (missile or drone) by 10 Apr
Reasoning
Two attacks in one week. Iran demonstrated precision targeting - E-3 AWACS and 3 KC-135s destroyed. Russian satellite intelligence suspected. Pattern of repeat targeting established.
Resolution
Ceasefire took effect Apr 7-8. No Iranian strikes on PSAB during ceasefire window. Directionally sound but ceasefire changed the operational environment before the deadline.
Log
Related Predictions
P004No ground forces on Iranian soil 14 daysCONFIRMEDP008Missile rate below 20/day by 10 MarREFUTEDP016Missile rate below 15/day by 20 MarPARTIALP019US KIA below 25 by 25 MarCONFIRMEDP025USS Boxer NOT arrive before combat ops ceaseCONFIRMEDP029US/coalition Kharg Island operation by 5 AprEXPIREDP030Iran fires another IRBM (1,500+ km) within 7 daysCONFIRMEDP032Houthis conduct NO kinetic military action for entire duration of conflictREFUTED