P0422026-03-28CONFIRMED
Israel conducts strikes during or within 48hrs after any US-Iran ceasefire/pause declaration
Reasoning
Observable pattern: Israel accelerating strikes 'in case ceasefire declared,' struck nuclear facilities during negotiations, killed Tangsiri during talks. R003 structural pattern: every diplomatic offramp destroyed.
Resolution
Israel struck three Tehran airports, railways, bridges, and Kharg Island on Apr 7 - same day as ceasefire announcement. Netanyahu carved Lebanon out of ceasefire entirely. Sabotage pattern confirmed 6/6+.
Log
Related Predictions
P003New Supreme Leader named by 15 MarCONFIRMEDP005GCC state requests US force reduction by 12 MarEXPIREDP007China issues ceasefire proposal by 12 MarEXPIREDP009Mojtaba named Supreme Leader during 3-8 Mar sessionCONFIRMEDP013Mojtaba public address within 5 daysCONFIRMEDP015No ceasefire talks before 22 MarCONFIRMEDP017European NATO ceasefire call by 25 MarEXPIREDP020Qatar demands compensation / reassesses basing within 10 daysEXPIRED